Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Sant Vicenç de Castellet: no list would have a majority, CM largest

Sant Vicenç de Castellet (Barcelona, 9,949 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CM−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 39.2% of the vote (2023: 44.5%) Majority 21%
ERC-AM+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 26.2% of the vote (2023: 21.0%) Majority 0%
SV SOU VOSALTRES±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 16.2% of the vote (2023: 16.1%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 10.4% of the vote (2023: 5.6%) Majority 0%
PSC-CP−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 4.4% of the vote (2023: 7.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 79% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CMJunts 44.5% → 39.2% 7 → 6 councillors
  2. ERC-AMERC 21.0% → 26.2% 3 → 4 councillors
  3. SV SOU VOSALTRESLocal lists 16.1% → 16.2% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. VOXVox 5.6% → 10.4% 0 → 1 councillors
  5. PSC-CPPSOE 7.2% → 4.4% 1 → 0 councillors
  6. SANT VICENÇ EN COMÚ PODEM-CONFLUÈNCIA (SVECP-C)Sumar, Podemos and allies 3.0% → 0.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. FSV - ARA PLLocal lists 0.9% → 0.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. UCINLocal lists 0.6% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,037 valid votes including 45 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Sant Vicenç de Castellet in size, in Barcelona

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