Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Sant Vicenç de Castellet: no list would have a majority, CM largest

Sant Vicenç de Castellet (Barcelona, 9,949 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CM−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 39.2% of the vote (2023: 44.5%) Majority 21%
ERC-AM+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 26.2% of the vote (2023: 21.0%) Majority 0%
SV SOU VOSALTRES±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 16.2% of the vote (2023: 16.1%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 10.4% of the vote (2023: 5.6%) Majority 0%
PSC-CP−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 4.4% of the vote (2023: 7.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 79% of 300 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Sant Vicenç de Castellet

Sant Vicenç de Castellet is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 9,949 inhabitants, the 85th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CM came first with 44.5% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; ERC-AM was second with 3. 55.8% of the 7,229 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: CM would be largest on 6 of 13.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CMJunts 44.5% → 39.2% 7 → 6 councillors
  2. ERC-AMERC 21.0% → 26.2% 3 → 4 councillors
  3. SV SOU VOSALTRESLocal lists 16.1% → 16.2% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. VOXVox 5.6% → 10.4% 0 → 1 councillors
  5. PSC-CPPSOE 7.2% → 4.4% 1 → 0 councillors
  6. SANT VICENÇ EN COMÚ PODEM-CONFLUÈNCIA (SVECP-C)Sumar, Podemos and allies 3.0% → 0.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. FSV - ARA PLLocal lists 0.9% → 0.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. UCINLocal lists 0.6% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,037 valid votes including 45 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Sant Vicenç de Castellet in size, in Barcelona

Every municipality in Barcelona → · All of Spain →