Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Llinars del Vallès: ERC - AM would win a majority

Llinars del Vallès (Barcelona, 10,205 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ERC - AM+2
9 councillors (2023: 7) · 43.6% of the vote (2023: 35.3%) Majority 43%
PSC-CP−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 13.4% of the vote (2023: 16.9%) Majority 0%
FPA-AMUNT±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 12.9% of the vote (2023: 12.9%) Majority 0%
SXLL - C−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 11.7% of the vote (2023: 15.5%) Majority 0%
MALL±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.2% of the vote (2023: 9.2%) Majority 0%
CM±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.8% of the vote (2023: 7.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 57% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ERC - AMERC 35.3% → 43.6% 7 → 9 councillors
  2. PSC-CPPSOE 16.9% → 13.4% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. FPA-AMUNTCUP 12.9% → 12.9% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. SXLL - CSumar, Podemos and allies 15.5% → 11.7% 3 → 2 councillors
  5. MALLLocal lists 9.2% → 9.2% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. CMJunts 7.8% → 6.8% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,237 valid votes including 103 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Llinars del Vallès in size, in Barcelona

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