Santa Margarida de Montbui: AM-LVDVDM would keep its majority
Santa Margarida de Montbui (Barcelona, 10,294 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- over 99%AM-LVDVDM majority
- 4,284valid votes in 2023 (59% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in under 1% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Santa Margarida de Montbui
Santa Margarida de Montbui is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 10,294 inhabitants, the 82nd largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 AM-LVDVDM came first with 60.2% of the vote and 11 seats, an absolute majority; PSC-CP was second with 4. 58.7% of the 7,302 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps AM-LVDVDM on 11 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- AM-LVDVDMLocal lists 60.2% → 59.5% 11 → 11 councillors
- PSC-CPPSOE 24.7% → 20.4% 4 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 6.6% → 11.5% 1 → 2 councillors
- SOM-ERC-AMERC 5.3% → 6.5% 1 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 2.6% → 1.5% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,284 valid votes including 26 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Santa Margarida de Montbui in size, in Barcelona
- Llinars del Vallès10,205 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Premià de Dalt10,400 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Alella10,079 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Sant Vicenç de Castellet9,949 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- La Roca del Vallès10,776 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Sant Joan de Vilatorrada10,820 inhabitants · 17 councillors