Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Sant Llorenç Savall: ERC - AM would keep its majority

Sant Llorenç Savall (Barcelona, 2,524 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ERC - AM+1
7 councillors (2023: 6) · 62.6% of the vote (2023: 53.2%) Majority 99%
CM−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 32.4% of the vote (2023: 39.0%) Majority 1%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ERC - AMERC 53.2% → 62.6% 6 → 7 councillors
  2. CMJunts 39.0% → 32.4% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. ESEM-CPPSOE 4.9% → 2.2% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,094 valid votes including 31 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Sant Llorenç Savall in size, in Barcelona

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