Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Calldetenes: ERC - AM would win a majority

Calldetenes (Barcelona, 2,532 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ERC - AM+2
6 councillors (2023: 4) · 46.5% of the vote (2023: 37.4%) Majority 59%
CM−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 30.0% of the vote (2023: 34.2%) Majority under 1%
CXC−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 18.4% of the vote (2023: 23.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 41% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ERC - AMERC 37.4% → 46.5% 4 → 6 councillors
  2. CMJunts 34.2% → 30.0% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. CXCSumar, Podemos and allies 23.2% → 18.4% 3 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,079 valid votes including 56 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Calldetenes in size, in Barcelona

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