Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Calldetenes: ERC - AM would win a majority

Calldetenes (Barcelona, 2,532 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ERC - AM+2
6 councillors (2023: 4) · 46.5% of the vote (2023: 37.4%) Majority 59%
CM−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 30.0% of the vote (2023: 34.2%) Majority under 1%
CXC−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 18.4% of the vote (2023: 23.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 41% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Calldetenes

Calldetenes is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 2,532 inhabitants, the 172nd largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 ERC - AM came first with 37.4% of the vote and 4 seats; CM was second with 4. 54.3% of the 1,987 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps ERC - AM on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 59% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ERC - AMERC 37.4% → 46.5% 4 → 6 councillors
  2. CMJunts 34.2% → 30.0% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. CXCSumar, Podemos and allies 23.2% → 18.4% 3 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,079 valid votes including 56 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Calldetenes in size, in Barcelona

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