Aiguafreda: CM would keep its majority
Aiguafreda (Barcelona, 2,552 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 50%CM majority
- 1,136valid votes in 2023 (55% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 18% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Aiguafreda
Aiguafreda is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 2,552 inhabitants, the 171st largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 CM came first with 52.3% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; VIU AIGUAFREDA ERC - AM was second with 4. 54.9% of the 2,071 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps CM on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 50% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CMJunts 52.3% → 45.5% 6 → 6 councillors
- VIU AIGUAFREDA ERC - AMERC 34.9% → 43.1% 4 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 8.6% → 7.3% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,136 valid votes including 47 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Aiguafreda in size, in Barcelona
- Torrelles de Foix2,557 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Calldetenes2,532 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Sant Llorenç Savall2,524 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Mediona2,517 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Sant Pere de Torelló2,514 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Sant Llorenç d'Hortons2,503 inhabitants · 11 councillors