Sant Llorenç d'Hortons: MXH - AM would win a majority
Sant Llorenç d'Hortons (Barcelona, 2,503 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 58%MXH - AM majority
- 1,252valid votes in 2023 (63% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
MXH - AM+1
6
councillors (2023: 5) · 45.8% of the vote (2023: 37.1%)
Majority 58%
CM−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 37.5% of the vote (2023: 43.1%)
Majority 15%
AVANCEM - CP±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 7.8% of the vote (2023: 10.9%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 26% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- MXH - AMERC 37.1% → 45.8% 5 → 6 councillors
- CMJunts 43.1% → 37.5% 5 → 4 councillors
- AVANCEM - CPPSOE 10.9% → 7.8% 1 → 1 councillors
- SOM-HI HORTONSLocal lists 6.0% → 6.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,252 valid votes including 36 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.