Sant Llorenç d'Hortons: MXH - AM would win a majority
Sant Llorenç d'Hortons (Barcelona, 2,503 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 58%MXH - AM majority
- 1,252valid votes in 2023 (63% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 26% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Sant Llorenç d'Hortons
Sant Llorenç d'Hortons is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 2,503 inhabitants, the 176th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 CM came first with 43.1% of the vote and 5 seats; MXH - AM was second with 5. 63.3% of the 1,979 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps MXH - AM on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 58% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- MXH - AMERC 37.1% → 45.8% 5 → 6 councillors
- CMJunts 43.1% → 37.5% 5 → 4 councillors
- AVANCEM - CPPSOE 10.9% → 7.8% 1 → 1 councillors
- SOM-HI HORTONSLocal lists 6.0% → 6.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,252 valid votes including 36 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.