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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Barcelona

Rubí: no list would have a majority, PSC-CP largest

Rubí (Barcelona, 79,007 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSC-CP−1
8 councillors (2023: 9) · 26.5% of the vote (2023: 31.3%) Majority 0%
ERC - AM+1
6 councillors (2023: 5) · 20.8% of the vote (2023: 17.0%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
5 councillors (2023: 3) · 16.9% of the vote (2023: 10.9%) Majority 0%
VR±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 7.9% of the vote (2023: 8.0%) Majority 0%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 7.3% of the vote (2023: 8.7%) Majority 0%
AUP - AMUNT±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 7.3% of the vote (2023: 7.4%) Majority 0%
ECPR - C−2
0 councillors (2023: 2) · 4.6% of the vote (2023: 7.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Rubí

Rubí is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 79,007 inhabitants, the 11th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 25 seats, and 13 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSC-CP came first with 31.3% of the vote and 9 seats; ERC - AM was second with 5. 47.5% of the 56,622 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSC-CP would be largest on 8 of 25.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSC-CPPSOE 31.3% → 26.5% 9 → 8 councillors
  2. ERC - AMERC 17.0% → 20.8% 5 → 6 councillors
  3. VOXVox 10.9% → 16.9% 3 → 5 councillors
  4. VRLocal lists 8.0% → 7.9% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. PPPP 8.7% → 7.3% 2 → 2 councillors
  6. AUP - AMUNTCUP 7.4% → 7.3% 2 → 2 councillors
  7. ECPR - CSumar, Podemos and allies 7.3% → 4.6% 2 → 0 councillors
  8. CMJunts 4.8% → 4.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. CSCiudadanos 2.4% → 2.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  10. VALENTSLocal lists 0.6% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  11. ARA PLLocal lists 0.4% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 26,878 valid votes including 325 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Rubí in size, in Barcelona

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