Castelldefels: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Castelldefels (Barcelona, 67,307 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 25councillors, 13 for a majority
- 63%no list with a majority
- 25,145valid votes in 2023 (56% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
12
councillors (2023: 12) · 41.2% of the vote (2023: 42.1%)
Majority 37%
PSC-CP−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 12.2% of the vote (2023: 15.2%)
Majority 0%
SFELS±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 11.2% of the vote (2023: 10.8%)
Majority 0%
ERC - AM+1
3
councillors (2023: 2) · 10.5% of the vote (2023: 8.2%)
Majority 0%
VOX+2
2
councillors (2023: 0) · 8.2% of the vote (2023: 3.6%)
Majority 0%
MOVEM ECP - C−1
2
councillors (2023: 3) · 7.8% of the vote (2023: 10.6%)
Majority 0%
CM−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 4.5% of the vote (2023: 5.0%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in 63% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 42.1% → 41.2% 12 → 12 councillors
- PSC-CPPSOE 15.2% → 12.2% 4 → 3 councillors
- SFELSLocal lists 10.8% → 11.2% 3 → 3 councillors
- ERC - AMERC 8.2% → 10.5% 2 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 3.6% → 8.2% 0 → 2 councillors
- MOVEM ECP - CSumar, Podemos and allies 10.6% → 7.8% 3 → 2 councillors
- CMJunts 5.0% → 4.5% 1 → 0 councillors
- PARTICIPA CASTELLDEFELSLocal lists 1.6% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors
- VALENTSLocal lists 0.6% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 0.5% → 0.5% 0 → 0 councillors
- ARA PLLocal lists 0.4% → 0.5% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 25,145 valid votes including 323 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.