Manresa: no list would have a majority, ERC-AM largest
Manresa (Barcelona, 77,452 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 25councillors, 13 for a majority
- over 99%no list with a majority
- 24,967valid votes in 2023 (48% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
ERC-AM+2
9
councillors (2023: 7) · 29.0% of the vote (2023: 23.7%)
Majority 0%
CM−1
5
councillors (2023: 6) · 17.3% of the vote (2023: 20.0%)
Majority 0%
VOX+2
3
councillors (2023: 1) · 10.9% of the vote (2023: 6.2%)
Majority 0%
PSC-CP−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 10.9% of the vote (2023: 14.3%)
Majority 0%
FEM MANRESA - ALTERNATIVA MUNICIPALISTA (FEM - AMU−1
2
councillors (2023: 3) · 9.4% of the vote (2023: 9.6%)
Majority 0%
ARA PL±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 8.6% of the vote (2023: 8.7%)
Majority 0%
FNC−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 6.4% of the vote (2023: 6.5%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ERC-AMERC 23.7% → 29.0% 7 → 9 councillors
- CMJunts 20.0% → 17.3% 6 → 5 councillors
- VOXVox 6.2% → 10.9% 1 → 3 councillors
- PSC-CPPSOE 14.3% → 10.9% 4 → 3 councillors
- FEM MANRESA - ALTERNATIVA MUNICIPALISTA (FEM - AMUCUP 9.6% → 9.4% 3 → 2 councillors
- ARA PLLocal lists 8.7% → 8.6% 2 → 2 councillors
- FNCLocal lists 6.5% → 6.4% 2 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 4.8% → 3.6% 0 → 0 councillors
- MECP-CSumar, Podemos and allies 3.7% → 1.5% 0 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 0.6% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 24,967 valid votes including 470 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Manresa in size, in Barcelona
- Rubí79,007 inhabitants · 25 councillors
- Sant Boi de Llobregat83,371 inhabitants · 25 councillors
- Vilanova i la Geltrú68,152 inhabitants · 25 councillors
- Cornellà de Llobregat89,039 inhabitants · 25 councillors
- Castelldefels67,307 inhabitants · 25 councillors
- Viladecans66,720 inhabitants · 25 councillors