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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Barcelona

Manresa: no list would have a majority, ERC-AM largest

Manresa (Barcelona, 77,452 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ERC-AM+2
9 councillors (2023: 7) · 29.0% of the vote (2023: 23.7%) Majority 0%
CM−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 17.3% of the vote (2023: 20.0%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
3 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.9% of the vote (2023: 6.2%) Majority 0%
PSC-CP−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 10.9% of the vote (2023: 14.3%) Majority 0%
FEM MANRESA - ALTERNATIVA MUNICIPALISTA (FEM - AMU−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 9.4% of the vote (2023: 9.6%) Majority 0%
ARA PL±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 8.6% of the vote (2023: 8.7%) Majority 0%
FNC−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 6.4% of the vote (2023: 6.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Manresa

Manresa is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 77,452 inhabitants, the 12th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 25 seats, and 13 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 ERC-AM came first with 23.7% of the vote and 7 seats; CM was second with 6. 47.8% of the 52,272 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: ERC-AM would be largest on 9 of 25.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ERC-AMERC 23.7% → 29.0% 7 → 9 councillors
  2. CMJunts 20.0% → 17.3% 6 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 6.2% → 10.9% 1 → 3 councillors
  4. PSC-CPPSOE 14.3% → 10.9% 4 → 3 councillors
  5. FEM MANRESA - ALTERNATIVA MUNICIPALISTA (FEM - AMUCUP 9.6% → 9.4% 3 → 2 councillors
  6. ARA PLLocal lists 8.7% → 8.6% 2 → 2 councillors
  7. FNCLocal lists 6.5% → 6.4% 2 → 1 councillors
  8. PPPP 4.8% → 3.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. MECP-CSumar, Podemos and allies 3.7% → 1.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  10. CSCiudadanos 0.6% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 24,967 valid votes including 470 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Manresa in size, in Barcelona

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