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Mediona: no list would have a majority, PSC-CP largest

Mediona (Barcelona, 2,517 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSC-CP−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 39.6% of the vote (2023: 44.5%) Majority 18%
ERC / ESQUERRA+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 26.4% of the vote (2023: 21.0%) Majority 0%
F.I.C.±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 15.0% of the vote (2023: 14.8%) Majority 0%
CM±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 8.6% of the vote (2023: 9.6%) Majority 0%
UCIN±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 8.4% of the vote (2023: 8.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 82% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Mediona

Mediona is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 2,517 inhabitants, the 174th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSC-CP came first with 44.5% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; ERC / ESQUERRA was second with 2. 60.6% of the 1,933 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSC-CP would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSC-CPPSOE 44.5% → 39.6% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. ERC / ESQUERRAERC 21.0% → 26.4% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. F.I.C.Local lists 14.8% → 15.0% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. CMJunts 9.6% → 8.6% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. UCINLocal lists 8.3% → 8.4% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,172 valid votes including 22 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Mediona in size, in Barcelona

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