Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

L'Ametlla del Vallès: no list would have a majority, A'T largest

L'Ametlla del Vallès (Barcelona, 9,020 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

A'T±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 36.6% of the vote (2023: 34.5%) Majority 16%
CM±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 24.8% of the vote (2023: 26.8%) Majority 0%
ERC - AM±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 21.9% of the vote (2023: 16.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 84% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About L'Ametlla del Vallès

L'Ametlla del Vallès is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 9,020 inhabitants, the 98th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 A'T came first with 34.5% of the vote and 6 seats; CM was second with 4. 53.3% of the 7,114 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: A'T would be largest on 6 of 13.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. A'TLocal lists 34.5% → 36.6% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. CMJunts 26.8% → 24.8% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. ERC - AMERC 16.7% → 21.9% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. PPPP 5.1% → 4.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. ARA'A - ARA PLLocal lists 3.5% → 3.7% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. LAECP - CSumar, Podemos and allies 5.0% → 2.8% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. VEÏNSLocal lists 2.6% → 2.7% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. PSC-CPPSOE 4.8% → 2.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,792 valid votes including 38 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near L'Ametlla del Vallès in size, in Barcelona

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