Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Sant Fost de Campsentelles: IUSF would keep its majority

Sant Fost de Campsentelles (Barcelona, 9,064 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

IUSF±0
9 councillors (2023: 9) · 59.1% of the vote (2023: 57.7%) Majority over 99%
ARA SANT FOST-ERC-AM+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 21.6% of the vote (2023: 17.0%) Majority 0%
SFECP - C±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.4% of the vote (2023: 10.3%) Majority 0%
PSC-CP−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 3.7% of the vote (2023: 6.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. IUSFLocal lists 57.7% → 59.1% 9 → 9 councillors
  2. ARA SANT FOST-ERC-AMERC 17.0% → 21.6% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. SFECP - CSumar, Podemos and allies 10.3% → 7.4% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. CMJunts 4.5% → 4.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. PSC-CPPSOE 6.3% → 3.7% 1 → 0 councillors
  6. CSCiudadanos 2.7% → 2.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,638 valid votes including 49 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Sant Fost de Campsentelles in size, in Barcelona

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