Sant Fost de Campsentelles: IUSF would keep its majority
Sant Fost de Campsentelles (Barcelona, 9,064 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- over 99%IUSF majority
- 3,638valid votes in 2023 (50% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Sant Fost de Campsentelles
Sant Fost de Campsentelles is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 9,064 inhabitants, the 96th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 IUSF came first with 57.7% of the vote and 9 seats, an absolute majority; ARA SANT FOST-ERC-AM was second with 2. 49.9% of the 7,294 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps IUSF on 9 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- IUSFLocal lists 57.7% → 59.1% 9 → 9 councillors
- ARA SANT FOST-ERC-AMERC 17.0% → 21.6% 2 → 3 councillors
- SFECP - CSumar, Podemos and allies 10.3% → 7.4% 1 → 1 councillors
- CMJunts 4.5% → 4.1% 0 → 0 councillors
- PSC-CPPSOE 6.3% → 3.7% 1 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 2.7% → 2.8% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,638 valid votes including 49 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.