Arenys de Munt: ERC - AM would win a majority
Arenys de Munt (Barcelona, 9,278 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 86%ERC - AM majority
- 3,691valid votes in 2023 (52% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
ERC - AM+1
7
councillors (2023: 6) · 50.2% of the vote (2023: 41.9%)
Majority 86%
CM−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 23.8% of the vote (2023: 28.1%)
Majority 0%
CUP-AMUNT±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 13.4% of the vote (2023: 13.8%)
Majority 0%
PSC-CP±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 7.7% of the vote (2023: 11.0%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 14% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ERC - AMERC 41.9% → 50.2% 6 → 7 councillors
- CMJunts 28.1% → 23.8% 4 → 3 councillors
- CUP-AMUNTCUP 13.8% → 13.4% 2 → 2 councillors
- PSC-CPPSOE 11.0% → 7.7% 1 → 1 councillors
- AM-IDCLocal lists 1.9% → 1.8% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,691 valid votes including 118 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.