Arenys de Munt: ERC - AM would win a majority
Arenys de Munt (Barcelona, 9,278 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 86%ERC - AM majority
- 3,691valid votes in 2023 (52% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 14% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Arenys de Munt
Arenys de Munt is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 9,278 inhabitants, the 93rd largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 ERC - AM came first with 41.9% of the vote and 6 seats; CM was second with 4. 51.6% of the 7,149 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps ERC - AM on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 86% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ERC - AMERC 41.9% → 50.2% 6 → 7 councillors
- CMJunts 28.1% → 23.8% 4 → 3 councillors
- CUP-AMUNTCUP 13.8% → 13.4% 2 → 2 councillors
- PSC-CPPSOE 11.0% → 7.7% 1 → 1 councillors
- AM-IDCLocal lists 1.9% → 1.8% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,691 valid votes including 118 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.