Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com Spain
EN ES
Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Barcelona

Cervelló: no list would have a majority, ERC - AM largest

Cervelló (Barcelona, 9,307 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ERC - AM+1
6 councillors (2023: 5) · 40.5% of the vote (2023: 34.5%) Majority 24%
M'ESTIMO CERVELLÓ - PSC - CP−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 33.1% of the vote (2023: 40.2%) Majority 1%
VOX±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 11.2% of the vote (2023: 6.8%) Majority 0%
S X C±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.3% of the vote (2023: 9.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 75% of 300 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Cervelló

Cervelló is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 9,307 inhabitants, the 92nd largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 M'ESTIMO CERVELLÓ - PSC - CP came first with 40.2% of the vote and 6 seats; ERC - AM was second with 5. 53.4% of the 7,132 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: ERC - AM would be largest on 6 of 13.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ERC - AMERC 34.5% → 40.5% 5 → 6 councillors
  2. M'ESTIMO CERVELLÓ - PSC - CPPSOE 40.2% → 33.1% 6 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 6.8% → 11.2% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. S X CLocal lists 9.8% → 9.3% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. CMJunts 4.7% → 3.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. CECP - CSumar, Podemos and allies 2.8% → 0.7% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,809 valid votes including 46 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cervelló in size, in Barcelona

Every municipality in Barcelona → · All of Spain →