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Begues: no list would have a majority, CM largest

Begues (Barcelona, 7,450 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CM±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 31.6% of the vote (2023: 34.3%) Majority 2%
ERC / AM+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 19.0% of the vote (2023: 14.6%) Majority 0%
PSC-CP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 13.3% of the vote (2023: 16.1%) Majority 0%
BECP - C−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 10.2% of the vote (2023: 13.2%) Majority 0%
CUP-AMUNT±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.3% of the vote (2023: 8.9%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 7.9% of the vote (2023: 3.3%) Majority 0%
PP−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.1% of the vote (2023: 7.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 98% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Begues

Begues is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 7,450 inhabitants, the 111th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CM came first with 34.3% of the vote and 5 seats; PSC-CP was second with 2. 57.1% of the 5,522 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: CM would be largest on 5 of 13.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CMJunts 34.3% → 31.6% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. ERC / AMERC 14.6% → 19.0% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. PSC-CPPSOE 16.1% → 13.3% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. BECP - CSumar, Podemos and allies 13.2% → 10.2% 2 → 1 councillors
  5. CUP-AMUNTCUP 8.9% → 9.3% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. VOXVox 3.3% → 7.9% 0 → 1 councillors
  7. PPPP 7.0% → 6.1% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,153 valid votes including 79 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Begues in size, in Barcelona

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