Vacarisses: ERC - AM would keep its majority
Vacarisses (Barcelona, 7,325 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 95%ERC - AM majority
- 2,845valid votes in 2023 (51% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
ERC - AM+1
8
councillors (2023: 7) · 49.4% of the vote (2023: 42.7%)
Majority 95%
VOX±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 10.6% of the vote (2023: 6.4%)
Majority 0%
CM−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 10.5% of the vote (2023: 12.9%)
Majority 0%
LAVV±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 8.3% of the vote (2023: 8.9%)
Majority 0%
V PER V±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 7.6% of the vote (2023: 8.1%)
Majority 0%
PSC-CP±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 6.5% of the vote (2023: 10.0%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 5% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ERC - AMERC 42.7% → 49.4% 7 → 8 councillors
- VOXVox 6.4% → 10.6% 1 → 1 councillors
- CMJunts 12.9% → 10.5% 2 → 1 councillors
- LAVVLocal lists 8.9% → 8.3% 1 → 1 councillors
- V PER VLocal lists 8.1% → 7.6% 1 → 1 councillors
- PSC-CPPSOE 10.0% → 6.5% 1 → 1 councillors
- MV-ECP - CSumar, Podemos and allies 4.8% → 2.3% 0 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 1.7% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors
- PPPP 2.7% → 1.5% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,845 valid votes including 50 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.