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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Barcelona

Badalona: PP would keep its majority

Badalona (Barcelona, 223,506 inhabitants) elects 27 councillors on 23 May 2027; 14 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP+1
19 councillors (2023: 18) · 56.6% of the vote (2023: 55.7%) Majority 99%
PSC-CP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 12.0% of the vote (2023: 14.6%) Majority 0%
ERC - AM+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 10.1% of the vote (2023: 7.6%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 5.3% of the vote (2023: 1.3%) Majority 0%
BCOMÚP - C−2
0 councillors (2023: 2) · 4.7% of the vote (2023: 7.0%) Majority 0%
GBEC-MCAT−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 3.8% of the vote (2023: 6.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (14 of 27). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Badalona

Badalona is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 223,506 inhabitants, the 4th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 27 seats, and 14 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 55.7% of the vote and 18 seats, an absolute majority; PSC-CP was second with 4. 57.6% of the 156,423 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 19 seats, a majority, which it holds in 99% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 55.7% → 56.6% 18 → 19 councillors
  2. PSC-CPPSOE 14.6% → 12.0% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. ERC - AMERC 7.6% → 10.1% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. VOXVox 1.3% → 5.3% 0 → 1 councillors
  5. BCOMÚP - CSumar, Podemos and allies 7.0% → 4.7% 2 → 0 councillors
  6. CMJunts 4.8% → 4.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. GBEC-MCATSumar, Podemos and allies 6.1% → 3.8% 1 → 0 councillors
  8. VALENTSLocal lists 0.6% → 0.7% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. BDN+ - ARA PLLocal lists 0.5% → 0.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  10. CSCiudadanos 0.3% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  11. FNCLocal lists 0.2% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 90,069 valid votes including 1,140 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Badalona in size, in Barcelona

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