Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Santa Coloma de Gramenet: PSC-CP would keep its majority

Santa Coloma de Gramenet (Barcelona, 117,981 inhabitants) elects 27 councillors on 23 May 2027; 14 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSC-CP−2
15 councillors (2023: 17) · 46.1% of the vote (2023: 51.2%) Majority 76%
ERC - AM+2
6 councillors (2023: 4) · 18.9% of the vote (2023: 15.0%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 11.8% of the vote (2023: 6.6%) Majority 0%
CS±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 7.7% of the vote (2023: 7.6%) Majority 0%
PP−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 5.7% of the vote (2023: 6.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (14 of 27). No list with a majority in 24% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSC-CPPSOE 51.2% → 46.1% 17 → 15 councillors
  2. ERC - AMERC 15.0% → 18.9% 4 → 6 councillors
  3. VOXVox 6.6% → 11.8% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. CSCiudadanos 7.6% → 7.7% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. PPPP 6.8% → 5.7% 2 → 1 councillors
  6. CUP-GG-AMUNTCUP 2.7% → 2.7% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. SCG-ECP-CSumar, Podemos and allies 4.9% → 2.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. PACMALocal lists 1.5% → 1.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. CMJunts 1.3% → 1.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  10. PCPCLocal lists 0.3% → 0.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  11. VALENTSLocal lists 0.2% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  12. ARA PLLocal lists 0.2% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  13. USSP-SCGSumar, Podemos and allies 0.8% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 39,289 valid votes including 396 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Santa Coloma de Gramenet in size, in Barcelona

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