Badalona: PP would keep its majority
Badalona (Barcelona, 223,506 inhabitants) elects 27 councillors on 23 May 2027; 14 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 27councillors, 14 for a majority
- 99%PP majority
- 90,069valid votes in 2023 (58% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (14 of 27). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Badalona
Badalona is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 223,506 inhabitants, the 4th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 27 seats, and 14 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 55.7% of the vote and 18 seats, an absolute majority; PSC-CP was second with 4. 57.6% of the 156,423 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 19 seats, a majority, which it holds in 99% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 55.7% → 56.6% 18 → 19 councillors
- PSC-CPPSOE 14.6% → 12.0% 4 → 4 councillors
- ERC - AMERC 7.6% → 10.1% 2 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 1.3% → 5.3% 0 → 1 councillors
- BCOMÚP - CSumar, Podemos and allies 7.0% → 4.7% 2 → 0 councillors
- CMJunts 4.8% → 4.4% 0 → 0 councillors
- GBEC-MCATSumar, Podemos and allies 6.1% → 3.8% 1 → 0 councillors
- VALENTSLocal lists 0.6% → 0.7% 0 → 0 councillors
- BDN+ - ARA PLLocal lists 0.5% → 0.5% 0 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 0.3% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors
- FNCLocal lists 0.2% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 90,069 valid votes including 1,140 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Badalona in size, in Barcelona
- Terrassa224,114 inhabitants · 27 councillors
- Sabadell215,760 inhabitants · 27 councillors
- L'Hospitalet de Llobregat265,444 inhabitants · 27 councillors
- Mataró128,956 inhabitants · 27 councillors
- Santa Coloma de Gramenet117,981 inhabitants · 27 councillors
- Sant Cugat del Vallès95,725 inhabitants · 25 councillors