Santa Marta: PP would keep its majority
Santa Marta (Badajoz, 4,125 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 81%PP majority
- 2,405valid votes in 2023 (75% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 13% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Santa Marta
Santa Marta is a municipality in the province of Badajoz with 4,125 inhabitants, the 32nd largest of its 165 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 48.5% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 5. 74.5% of the 3,227 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 81% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 48.5% → 51.1% 6 → 6 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 36.8% → 35.4% 5 → 4 councillors
- J.U.E.X.Local lists 7.2% → 7.9% 0 → 1 councillors
- IU-PODEMOS-AV -UNIDASSumar, Podemos and allies 5.0% → 3.0% 0 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 0.5% → 0.5% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,405 valid votes including 50 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Santa Marta in size, in Badajoz
- Valverde de Leganés4,172 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Arroyo de San Serván4,054 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Monesterio4,302 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Santa Amalia3,942 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Navalvillar de Pela4,371 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Quintana de la Serena4,536 inhabitants · 11 councillors