España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Santa Marta: PP would keep its majority

Santa Marta (Badajoz, 4,125 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 51.1% of the vote (2023: 48.5%) Majority 81%
PSOE−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 35.4% of the vote (2023: 36.8%) Majority 6%
J.U.E.X.+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 7.9% of the vote (2023: 7.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 13% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

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The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Santa Marta

Santa Marta is a municipality in the province of Badajoz with 4,125 inhabitants, the 32nd largest of its 165 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 48.5% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 5. 74.5% of the 3,227 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 81% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 48.5% → 51.1% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 36.8% → 35.4% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. J.U.E.X.Local lists 7.2% → 7.9% 0 → 1 councillors
  4. IU-PODEMOS-AV -UNIDASSumar, Podemos and allies 5.0% → 3.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. CSCiudadanos 0.5% → 0.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,405 valid votes including 50 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Santa Marta in size, in Badajoz

Every municipality in Badajoz → · All of Spain →