Arroyo de San Serván: PSOE would keep its majority
Arroyo de San Serván (Badajoz, 4,054 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- over 99%PSOE majority
- 2,426valid votes in 2023 (75% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE−1
8
councillors (2023: 9) · 72.9% of the vote (2023: 73.5%)
Majority over 99%
PP+1
3
councillors (2023: 2) · 25.1% of the vote (2023: 24.5%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 73.5% → 72.9% 9 → 8 councillors
- PPPP 24.5% → 25.1% 2 → 3 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,426 valid votes including 48 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Arroyo de San Serván in size, in Badajoz
- Santa Marta4,125 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Santa Amalia3,942 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Valverde de Leganés4,172 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Monesterio4,302 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Navalvillar de Pela4,371 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Quintana de la Serena4,536 inhabitants · 11 councillors