Arroyo de San Serván: PSOE would keep its majority
Arroyo de San Serván (Badajoz, 4,054 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- over 99%PSOE majority
- 2,426valid votes in 2023 (75% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Arroyo de San Serván
Arroyo de San Serván is a municipality in the province of Badajoz with 4,054 inhabitants, the 33rd largest of its 165 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE came first with 73.5% of the vote and 9 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 2. 75.2% of the 3,224 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 8 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 73.5% → 72.9% 9 → 8 councillors
- PPPP 24.5% → 25.1% 2 → 3 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,426 valid votes including 48 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Arroyo de San Serván in size, in Badajoz
- Santa Marta4,125 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Santa Amalia3,942 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Valverde de Leganés4,172 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Monesterio4,302 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Navalvillar de Pela4,371 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Quintana de la Serena4,536 inhabitants · 11 councillors