Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Olivenza: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Olivenza (Badajoz, 11,832 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 45.3% of the vote (2023: 45.7%) Majority 34%
PP±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 40.2% of the vote (2023: 37.8%) Majority 16%
IU-PODEMOS-AV -UNIDAS±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 10.6% of the vote (2023: 12.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 50% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Olivenza

Olivenza is a municipality in the province of Badajoz with 11,832 inhabitants, the 9th largest of its 165 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 45.7% of the vote and 8 seats; PP was second with 7. 70% of the 9,499 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 8 of 17.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 45.7% → 45.3% 8 → 8 councillors
  2. PPPP 37.8% → 40.2% 7 → 7 councillors
  3. IU-PODEMOS-AV -UNIDASSumar, Podemos and allies 12.8% → 10.6% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. CSCiudadanos 0.7% → 0.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 6,653 valid votes including 198 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Olivenza in size, in Badajoz

Every municipality in Badajoz → · All of Spain →