Zafra: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Zafra (Badajoz, 16,702 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 93%no list with a majority
- 9,094valid votes in 2023 (68% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 93% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Zafra
Zafra is a municipality in the province of Badajoz with 16,702 inhabitants, the 6th largest of its 165 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 35.1% of the vote and 7 seats; PSOE was second with 6. 68.4% of the 13,293 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 7 of 17.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 35.1% → 36.6% 7 → 7 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 34.1% → 32.6% 6 → 6 councillors
- A.Z.P.I.Local lists 16.8% → 18.6% 3 → 3 councillors
- IU-PODEMOS-AV -UNIDASSumar, Podemos and allies 8.3% → 6.1% 1 → 1 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 3.1% → 3.5% 0 → 0 councillors
- J.U.E.X.Local lists 0.8% → 0.9% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 9,094 valid votes including 151 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Zafra in size, in Badajoz
- Montijo15,427 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Villafranca de los Barros12,429 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Olivenza11,832 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Villanueva de la Serena25,873 inhabitants · 21 councillors
- Jerez de los Caballeros9,167 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Almendralejo33,669 inhabitants · 21 councillors