Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Zafra: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Zafra (Badajoz, 16,702 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 36.6% of the vote (2023: 35.1%) Majority 6%
PSOE±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 32.6% of the vote (2023: 34.1%) Majority 1%
A.Z.P.I.±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 18.6% of the vote (2023: 16.8%) Majority 0%
IU-PODEMOS-AV -UNIDAS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.1% of the vote (2023: 8.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 93% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Zafra

Zafra is a municipality in the province of Badajoz with 16,702 inhabitants, the 6th largest of its 165 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 35.1% of the vote and 7 seats; PSOE was second with 6. 68.4% of the 13,293 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 7 of 17.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 35.1% → 36.6% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 34.1% → 32.6% 6 → 6 councillors
  3. A.Z.P.I.Local lists 16.8% → 18.6% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. IU-PODEMOS-AV -UNIDASSumar, Podemos and allies 8.3% → 6.1% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. CSCiudadanos 3.1% → 3.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. J.U.E.X.Local lists 0.8% → 0.9% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 9,094 valid votes including 151 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Zafra in size, in Badajoz

Every municipality in Badajoz → · All of Spain →