Montijo: PP would keep its majority
Montijo (Badajoz, 15,427 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 73%PP majority
- 8,151valid votes in 2023 (65% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
9
councillors (2023: 9) · 50.3% of the vote (2023: 50.0%)
Majority 73%
PSOE−1
5
councillors (2023: 6) · 29.2% of the vote (2023: 32.1%)
Majority 0%
VOX+2
2
councillors (2023: 0) · 10.2% of the vote (2023: 5.0%)
Majority 0%
IU-PODEMOS-AV -UNIDAS−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 7.8% of the vote (2023: 10.5%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 27% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 50.0% → 50.3% 9 → 9 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 32.1% → 29.2% 6 → 5 councillors
- VOXVox 5.0% → 10.2% 0 → 2 councillors
- IU-PODEMOS-AV -UNIDASSumar, Podemos and allies 10.5% → 7.8% 2 → 1 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 0.8% → 0.8% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 8,151 valid votes including 135 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Montijo in size, in Badajoz
- Zafra16,702 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Villafranca de los Barros12,429 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Olivenza11,832 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Villanueva de la Serena25,873 inhabitants · 21 councillors
- Jerez de los Caballeros9,167 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Los Santos de Maimona8,072 inhabitants · 13 councillors