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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Badajoz

Montijo: PP would keep its majority

Montijo (Badajoz, 15,427 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
9 councillors (2023: 9) · 50.3% of the vote (2023: 50.0%) Majority 73%
PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 29.2% of the vote (2023: 32.1%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
2 councillors (2023: 0) · 10.2% of the vote (2023: 5.0%) Majority 0%
IU-PODEMOS-AV -UNIDAS−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 7.8% of the vote (2023: 10.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 27% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Montijo

Montijo is a municipality in the province of Badajoz with 15,427 inhabitants, the 7th largest of its 165 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 50% of the vote and 9 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 6. 65.4% of the 12,455 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 9 seats, a majority, which it holds in 73% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 50.0% → 50.3% 9 → 9 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 32.1% → 29.2% 6 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 5.0% → 10.2% 0 → 2 councillors
  4. IU-PODEMOS-AV -UNIDASSumar, Podemos and allies 10.5% → 7.8% 2 → 1 councillors
  5. CSCiudadanos 0.8% → 0.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 8,151 valid votes including 135 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Montijo in size, in Badajoz

Every municipality in Badajoz → · All of Spain →