Mérida: PSOE would keep its majority
Mérida (Badajoz, 59,324 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 25councillors, 13 for a majority
- 54%PSOE majority
- 29,265valid votes in 2023 (62% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in 46% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Mérida
Mérida is a municipality in the province of Badajoz with 59,324 inhabitants, the 2nd largest of its 165 municipalities. Its council has 25 seats, and 13 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE came first with 48.5% of the vote and 14 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 6. 62.4% of the 46,919 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 13 seats, a majority, which it holds in 54% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 48.5% → 44.8% 14 → 13 councillors
- PPPP 24.1% → 23.4% 6 → 6 councillors
- VOXVox 8.8% → 15.1% 2 → 4 councillors
- XMÉRIDALocal lists 7.2% → 7.5% 2 → 2 councillors
- IU-PODEMOS-AV -UNIDASSumar, Podemos and allies 6.5% → 4.1% 1 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 1.5% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors
- J.U.E.X.Local lists 1.2% → 1.2% 0 → 0 councillors
- UEDLocal lists 0.5% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 29,265 valid votes including 478 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.