Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

La Garrovilla: no list would have a majority, CS largest

La Garrovilla (Badajoz, 2,317 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CS±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 44.4% of the vote (2023: 41.5%) Majority 31%
PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 28.0% of the vote (2023: 30.7%) Majority 0%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 26.4% of the vote (2023: 26.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 69% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About La Garrovilla

La Garrovilla is a municipality in the province of Badajoz with 2,317 inhabitants, the 51st largest of its 165 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CS came first with 41.5% of the vote and 5 seats; PSOE was second with 3. 80.1% of the 1,944 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: CS would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CSCiudadanos 41.5% → 44.4% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 30.7% → 28.0% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PPPP 26.5% → 26.4% 3 → 3 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,558 valid votes including 19 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near La Garrovilla in size, in Badajoz

Every municipality in Badajoz → · All of Spain →