Guadiana: PP would keep its majority
Guadiana (Badajoz, 2,414 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 91%PP majority
- 1,628valid votes in 2023 (80% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP+1
7
councillors (2023: 6) · 57.8% of the vote (2023: 55.7%)
Majority 91%
PSOE−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 40.5% of the vote (2023: 42.6%)
Majority 9%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 55.7% → 57.8% 6 → 7 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 42.6% → 40.5% 5 → 4 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,628 valid votes including 28 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Guadiana in size, in Badajoz
- La Garrovilla2,317 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Solana de los Barros2,553 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Monterrubio de la Serena2,269 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Berlanga2,241 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Orellana la Vieja2,603 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Torremejía2,236 inhabitants · 11 councillors