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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Badajoz

Guadiana: PP would keep its majority

Guadiana (Badajoz, 2,414 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP+1
7 councillors (2023: 6) · 57.8% of the vote (2023: 55.7%) Majority 91%
PSOE−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 40.5% of the vote (2023: 42.6%) Majority 9%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

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The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Guadiana

Guadiana is a municipality in the province of Badajoz with 2,414 inhabitants, the 50th largest of its 165 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 55.7% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 5. 80% of the 2,035 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 91% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 55.7% → 57.8% 6 → 7 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 42.6% → 40.5% 5 → 4 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,628 valid votes including 28 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Guadiana in size, in Badajoz

Every municipality in Badajoz → · All of Spain →