Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Medellín: no list would have a majority, AVANZA MEDELLIN-YELBES largest

Medellín (Badajoz, 2,232 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

AVANZA MEDELLIN-YELBES+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 38.2% of the vote (2023: 35.7%) Majority 6%
PSOE−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 37.3% of the vote (2023: 40.1%) Majority 5%
ADV±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 20.2% of the vote (2023: 18.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 89% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. AVANZA MEDELLIN-YELBESLocal lists 35.7% → 38.2% 4 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 40.1% → 37.3% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. ADVLocal lists 18.9% → 20.2% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. PPPP 3.5% → 2.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,436 valid votes including 25 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Medellín in size, in Badajoz

Every municipality in Badajoz → · All of Spain →