La Horcajada: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest
La Horcajada (Ávila, 482 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 79%no list with a majority
- 345valid votes in 2023 (80% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 79% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About La Horcajada
La Horcajada is a municipality in the province of Ávila with 482 inhabitants, the 40th largest of its 248 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE came first with 41.4% of the vote and 3 seats; PNTAV was second with 2. 79.9% of the 432 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 3 of 7.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 41.4% → 38.9% 3 → 3 councillors
- PNTAVLocal lists 24.6% → 26.5% 2 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 23.8% → 23.7% 2 → 2 councillors
- XAVLocal lists 9.0% → 9.7% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 345 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.