Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Herradón de Pinares: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Herradón de Pinares (Ávila, 501 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 43.9% of the vote (2023: 43.2%) Majority 19%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 27.7% of the vote (2023: 30.3%) Majority 0%
XAV±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 27.7% of the vote (2023: 25.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 81% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 43.2% → 43.9% 3 → 3 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 30.3% → 27.7% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. XAVLocal lists 25.8% → 27.7% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 310 valid votes including 2 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Herradón de Pinares in size, in Ávila

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