Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Santa María del Tiétar: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Santa María del Tiétar (Ávila, 499 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 40.5% of the vote (2023: 40.2%) Majority 16%
XAV±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 38.0% of the vote (2023: 35.7%) Majority 5%
PSOE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 19.0% of the vote (2023: 21.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 79% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 40.2% → 40.5% 3 → 3 councillors
  2. XAVLocal lists 35.7% → 38.0% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 21.7% → 19.0% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 286 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Santa María del Tiétar in size, in Ávila

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