Cuevas del Valle: XAV would keep its majority
Cuevas del Valle (Ávila, 523 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 95%XAV majority
- 390valid votes in 2023 (86% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
XAV±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 56.0% of the vote (2023: 52.8%)
Majority 95%
PP±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 26.3% of the vote (2023: 26.7%)
Majority 0%
PSOE±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 16.7% of the vote (2023: 19.5%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 5% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- XAVLocal lists 52.8% → 56.0% 4 → 4 councillors
- PPPP 26.7% → 26.3% 2 → 2 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 19.5% → 16.7% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 390 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.