Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Guisando: no list would have a majority, GUISANDO AVANZA largest

Guisando (Ávila, 497 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

GUISANDO AVANZA±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 41.0% of the vote (2023: 38.8%) Majority 27%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 22.8% of the vote (2023: 23.3%) Majority 0%
XAV±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 19.7% of the vote (2023: 18.7%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.2% of the vote (2023: 17.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 73% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. GUISANDO AVANZALocal lists 38.8% → 41.0% 3 → 3 councillors
  2. PPPP 23.3% → 22.8% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. XAVLocal lists 18.7% → 19.7% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. PSOEPSOE 17.0% → 14.2% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 348 valid votes including 8 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Guisando in size, in Ávila

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