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Tineo: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Tineo (Asturias, 9,009 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 34.4% of the vote (2023: 38.7%) Majority 3%
PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 32.8% of the vote (2023: 34.1%) Majority under 1%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 25.3% of the vote (2023: 16.9%) Majority 0%
IU-MÁS PAÍS-IAS−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.7% of the vote (2023: 8.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 97% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Tineo

Tineo is a municipality in the province of Asturias with 9,009 inhabitants, the 21st largest of its 78 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 38.7% of the vote and 5 seats; PP was second with 5. 65.3% of the 7,694 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 5 of 13.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 38.7% → 34.4% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 34.1% → 32.8% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 16.9% → 25.3% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. IU-MÁS PAÍS-IASSumar, Podemos and allies 8.4% → 5.7% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,022 valid votes including 90 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Tineo in size, in Asturias

Every municipality in Asturias → · All of Spain →