Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Pravia: PSOE would keep its majority

Pravia (Asturias, 7,905 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 45.6% of the vote (2023: 48.6%) Majority 51%
PP−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 39.1% of the vote (2023: 38.8%) Majority 19%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 8.9% of the vote (2023: 4.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 30% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 48.6% → 45.6% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. PPPP 38.8% → 39.1% 6 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 4.0% → 8.9% 0 → 1 councillors
  4. IU-MÁS PAÍS-IASSumar, Podemos and allies 5.5% → 3.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. SMPLocal lists 0.5% → 0.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,398 valid votes including 117 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Pravia in size, in Asturias

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