Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Pravia: PSOE would keep its majority

Pravia (Asturias, 7,905 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 45.6% of the vote (2023: 48.6%) Majority 51%
PP−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 39.1% of the vote (2023: 38.8%) Majority 19%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 8.9% of the vote (2023: 4.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 30% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Pravia

Pravia is a municipality in the province of Asturias with 7,905 inhabitants, the 23rd largest of its 78 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 48.6% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 6. 66.1% of the 6,657 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 51% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 48.6% → 45.6% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. PPPP 38.8% → 39.1% 6 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 4.0% → 8.9% 0 → 1 councillors
  4. IU-MÁS PAÍS-IASSumar, Podemos and allies 5.5% → 3.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. SMPLocal lists 0.5% → 0.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,398 valid votes including 117 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Pravia in size, in Asturias

Every municipality in Asturias → · All of Spain →