Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Tineo: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Tineo (Asturias, 9,009 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 34.4% of the vote (2023: 38.7%) Majority 3%
PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 32.8% of the vote (2023: 34.1%) Majority under 1%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 25.3% of the vote (2023: 16.9%) Majority 0%
IU-MÁS PAÍS-IAS−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.7% of the vote (2023: 8.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 97% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 38.7% → 34.4% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 34.1% → 32.8% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 16.9% → 25.3% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. IU-MÁS PAÍS-IASSumar, Podemos and allies 8.4% → 5.7% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,022 valid votes including 90 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Tineo in size, in Asturias

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