Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Llanes: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Llanes (Asturias, 13,545 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
7 councillors (2023: 8) · 36.7% of the vote (2023: 39.4%) Majority 11%
VXLL−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 28.9% of the vote (2023: 27.0%) Majority 0%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 14.7% of the vote (2023: 15.2%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 8.0% of the vote (2023: 3.3%) Majority 0%
TÚPATRIA+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 5.2% of the vote (2023: 4.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 89% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 39.4% → 36.7% 8 → 7 councillors
  2. VXLLLocal lists 27.0% → 28.9% 6 → 5 councillors
  3. PPPP 15.2% → 14.7% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. VOXVox 3.3% → 8.0% 0 → 1 councillors
  5. TÚPATRIALocal lists 4.8% → 5.2% 0 → 1 councillors
  6. FORO ASTURIASLocal lists 2.8% → 3.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 3.5% → 1.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. IU-MÁS PAÍS-IASSumar, Podemos and allies 2.6% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 7,882 valid votes including 111 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Llanes in size, in Asturias

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